In a certain region, 46% of the population is female.It is known that 5% of males and 2% of females are left-handed.A person is chosen at random and found to be left-handed.What is the probability that this person is a male?

Answer 1

#"The Reqd. Prob."=135/181~~74.59%#.

Let, #F, M, and, L# be the events that a randomly chosen person

from the region is a Female, Male, and, Left handed, resp.

From what is given, we have,

#P(F)=46/100, P(L/M)=5/100, and P(L/F)=2/100#.
We deduce #P(M)=P(F')=1-P(F)=1-46/100=54/100#.
Now, #P(L)=P(F)P(L/F)+P(M)P(L/M)#,
#=46/100*2/100+54/100*5/100#,
#=(92+270)/10000#.
# rArr P(L)=362/10000#.

By Definition,

#P(M/L)=(P(MnnL))/(P(L)), &, P(L/M)=(P(L nnM))/(P(M))#.
#:. P(M/L)-:P(L/M)=(P(M))/(P(L))#.
#rArr"The Reqd. Prob."=P(M/L)=P(L/M)*(P(M))/(P(L))#,
#={(5/100)(54/100)}/(362/10000)#,
#=135/181#.
#:. "The Reqd. Prob."=135/181~~74.59%#.
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Answer 2

To find the probability that a left-handed person chosen at random is a male, we can use Bayes' theorem.

Let M M be the event that the person is male, and L L be the event that the person is left-handed.

Given:

  • Probability of being male (P(M) P(M) ) = 54% = 0.54
  • Probability of being female (P(F) P(F) ) = 46% = 0.46
  • Probability of being left-handed given male (P(LM) P(L|M) ) = 5% = 0.05
  • Probability of being left-handed given female (P(LF) P(L|F) ) = 2% = 0.02

We want to find P(ML) P(M|L) , the probability that the person is male given that they are left-handed.

Using Bayes' theorem:

P(ML)=P(LM)×P(M)P(L)P(M|L) = \frac{P(L|M) \times P(M)}{P(L)}

We can find P(L) P(L) using the law of total probability:

P(L)=P(LM)×P(M)+P(LF)×P(F)P(L) = P(L|M) \times P(M) + P(L|F) \times P(F)

Substitute the given values:

P(L)=0.05×0.54+0.02×0.46P(L) = 0.05 \times 0.54 + 0.02 \times 0.46

P(L)=0.027+0.0092P(L) = 0.027 + 0.0092

P(L)=0.0362P(L) = 0.0362

Now, substitute the values into Bayes' theorem:

P(ML)=0.05×0.540.0362P(M|L) = \frac{0.05 \times 0.54}{0.0362}

P(ML)=0.0270.0362P(M|L) = \frac{0.027}{0.0362}

P(ML)0.7459P(M|L) \approx 0.7459

Therefore, the probability that a left-handed person chosen at random is male is approximately 0.7459 0.7459 , or 74.59% 74.59\% .

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